Climate Papers
The uncensored 2026 climate change temperature and timeframe forecast.
Final Risk Report: Regional War and World War III Under Climate, Resource, and Governance Stress.
Special note: It is important to share a bit of the background for why this section exists. For some time, at the Universe Institute and Job One For Humanity, we have been concerned that major old or new regional conflicts would intensify or flare up, or possibly even WW III could be triggered, accelerating the ongoing climate-driven die-off already underway, now being driven by the many primary and secondary consequences of climate change. We have also been concerned that, because of the many accelerating consequences of climate change act as a threat multiplier, amplifier, and additional disruptor to the other 12 crises of the polycrisis humanity now faces, and that most global inteligence agencies are still using the significantly underestimated UN IPCC climate change consequence and timetable calculations, we needed to publish this white paper to attempt to remedy what appears to be a serious undervaluing of the risks, probabilities and timetables surrounding old and new regional conflicts, the potential of World War III, and the accelerating primary and secondary consequences of climate change.
We were also deeply concerned that considerably more intensified regional conflicts and the growing potential for World War III would occur well before the most serious primary and secondary consequences of climate change manifest globally, making climate change consequence-driven emergency recovery, adaptation, resilience-building, and migration even more difficult. We suspected that correcting underestimated climate change issues would significantly increase the probability of, and shorten the time frames for, regional wars or a possible World War III. We were right, but we were surprised that not only has it significantly changed the risk profiles, probabilities, and time frames for regional war and the potential for World War III, it also moves the worst of those conflict forecasts right in the middle of an exponential acceleration of the primary and secondary consequences of climate change.
To produce this white paper, we used both traditional resources and, in areas where we felt there was significant underestimation of the primary and secondary consequences of climate change and their time frames, we used the Universe Institute's updated 2026 climate change analysis. We also used this critical climate change process description for what is called the Climageddon Feedback Loop and its forecast timeframes, because we strongly believe most global intelligence agency analysts are seriously underweighting future regional conflict and World War III threat probabilities and timeframes, either because they are unaware of the Climageddon Feedback Loop process, or they are untrained on or unable to proficiently execute the advanced new DMAP analysis processes.
From what we understand, although only through indirect evidence, it appears that US intelligence agencies have very few DMAP-trained and proficient analysts, while Chinese and Russian intelligence agencies seem to have significantly widened the DMAP proficiency gap. (It should be noted that, because Chinese culture has embraced dialectical thinking in various forms for thousands of years, DMAP's quicker assimilation into Chinese intelligence agencies is not as great a leap as it appears to be for Western intelligence agencies.)
Click here to read this white paper titled "Final Risk Report: Regional War and World War III Under Climate, Resource, and Governance Stress."
Climate Change
Over the last decade, the Universe Institute has collaborated extensively with the climate change think tank Job One for Humanity. We worked with them on climate change research, analysis, and problem-solving across systems and subsystems. The results of these collaborations are featured in the articles on the Job One think tank website here.
Rather than repeating all the climate change research, analysis, and solutions we co-developed here with Job One, we recommend that you review them on the Job One think tank website.
Look at the articles under the Learn link for climate change analysis from our collaboration with Job One for Humanity.
Look at the articles under the Act link for climate change solutions from our collaboration with Job One for Humanity.
The Universe Institute climate change team continues to work with Job One as new research comes in.
Here are a few of our most recent climate change collaborations with Job One For Humanity
Click here for the four extinction-driving climate tipping points. The first has already been crossed, and the second runaway global warming tipping point will be crossed in the next 3-6 years. This page will explain precisely why we have only 3-6 years left to maintain some level of effective control over our climate future before the immutable laws of climate and atmospheric greenhouse-gas physics take over.
Click here for the climate-driven processes of global collapse and mass-to-near-total extinction. Here you will see the cascade of almost 80 primary and secondary climate change consequences unfolding and interacting with humanity's 11 other major global crises. After reading this page, you will understand why the extinction of half of humanity by 2050 is already an unavoidable reality. All that remains now is to fight to prevent our near-total extinction.
Click here to read about why a climate change-driven total human extinction is extremely improbable and more about how Mother Nature will save as much of humanity as possible.
Click here to understand why the very painful 2025 global fossil fuel reduction targets are humanity's honest, last-chance fossil fuel reduction targets they need to make before it is too late to prevent near-total extinction. In addition, it has detailed technical notes on the many factors behind the correctly adjusted 2025 target calculations.
Click here to learn about the 11 major tipping points in climate change and how they will affect your future. The article goes into great detail about each tipping point, how it works, and its major dangers.
Click here for a summary list of the 30+ challenges humanity must overcome to end the climate change emergency and survive accelerating global warming.
Click here to read the ten most dangerous things almost everyone does not understand about our current runaway global heating emergency. This will also provide additional critical climate momentum and inertia factors, along with other climate insights, partly explaining why we have about 3-6 years left to maintain some level of effective control over our climate future.
Click here to learn about the many immoral tactics that the global fossil fuel cartel has used to prevent humanity for 60 years from solving the climate change emergency because it would cut into their fossil fuel profits.
Click here and scroll down about a third of a page. You will see four illustrations showing the undeniable failure of all previous international climate change treaties and conferences to stop the continued rise in the levels of toxic, polluting carbon and methane in our atmosphere.
Food production emergency
The following two illustrations show how climate change will affect food production through its consequences and increased pest damage. The first illustration is based on information from Stanford University. It looks back at crop yields from 2015 to 2023.
It looks at the past, where the average global temperature increase was 1.23°C. However, in 2025, we will have already passed the 1.5°C mark and will most likely hit 2°C by about 2031 to 2040.
Job One estimates that at a 2°C global heating increase, crop failure and lower crop yields due to increased heat, rain bombs, drought, sudden cold spells, derechos (wind storms), and the other climate consequences that will create highly unstable growing seasons that crops depend upon, will cause crop yields to drop on average 15 percent to as much as 30- 40+ percent.
This will cause mass starvation and mass migration at levels never seen before in human history. Mass migration at these levels will create many new conflict zones and push nations towards authoritarian rulers and emergency measures, where human rights will be significantly diminished.
The next food production illustration forecasts losses in food production if the world reaches an average global temperature increase of 2°C. Unlike Job One (which we predict will reach degrees Celsius sometime between 2031 and 2040), the study below predicts 2°C in 2050, not 2100, as the UN's IPCC does. We do not believe this study below gives adequate weight to additional crossed tipping points and the climate sensitivity error issue (discussed in the following IPCC errors documentation section). However, this new study provides valuable insights into how things will worsen, focusing mainly on how increased climate-change-related pest damage will affect crop yields.
In the pest damage illustration below, if you also include climate change damage from heat, rain bombs, drought, sudden cold spells, derechos (wind storms), and all of the other things that will create highly unstable growing seasons that crops depend upon; crop yields will drop much more than 30% by 2050 and there will be far more total crop failures.
What to do About this Climate Change Nightmare
Click here to learn what global climate change and environmental organizations must do to change their future climate change strategy and save as many people as possible.
Click here for what each of us must do individually to save ourselves, our families, businesses, nations, and as much of humanity as possible.
UN, IPCC Errors, Miscalculations, and Other Related Factors Causing Their Projections to be 20-60% Underestimated
Click here to understand the long-term history of the IPCC underestimating the consequences, timeframes, and the needed global fossil fuel reduction targets by as much as 20-40% or more. This page and its linked pages will help explain why the current 2025 global fossil fuel reductions are so severe, compensating for the 40-plus years society has delayed and failed to implement the required gradual fossil fuel reductions. It is critical to understand the gross underestimation and other flaws, as well as unaccounted-for factors, in current climate risk assessments, which are based on the UN's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) calculations and modeling.
Click here to see precisely how the IPCC "cooked the fossil fuel reduction calculations" and grossly skewed the current IPCC global fossil fuel reduction calculations by including unproven, non-existent, and unscalable "carbon-sucking unicorn" technology into their projections.
Click here to see the eleven major runaway global warming tipping points that have been all but excluded from the IPCC calculations on how much fossil fuel use humanity must reduce each year globally. The article also contains the tipping point theory and explains why crossing these climate tipping points is dangerous to all aspects of our globalized society.
Click here to see the four key reasons the IPCC's 29 global climate change conferences have failed to produce results or legitimate global fossil fuel reduction targets.
Click here to see the IPCC's huge atmospheric methane calculation problem.
Click here for the latest IPCC climate change summary report on the critical climate sensitivity error. Because of this ongoing climate sensitivity error, the IPCC's latest climate impact predictions, timeframes, and information on remedial action will be underestimated by up to 15%. (This 15% does not include the effect of the other IPCC errors described in the links just above.)
The decades of IPCC errors, calculations, and polarization problems mean the IPCC is an unreliable partner for truthful, accurate climate change information. Their climate consequence predictions, timeframes, and remedial action information are grossly underestimated by 20-40% and possibly more!
Other Helpful Climate Change Links
Click here to see the current climate change conditions for 2025.
Click here for our climate change consequences and timetable forecast for 2025 and beyond.
Please look at the plan for resolving the climate change and global warming emergency here.
Please Note: The Universe Institute's Papers section lists published and unpublished papers, white papers, and articles about DTF and DMAP or papers developed using DTF and DMAP methodology at some point in their creation process.
The Papers section is arranged by categories. Some categories may contain papers unrelated to the Universe Institute's mission and goals, or may not have been created with DMAP or DTF, but they will be labeled accordingly.
Please note that the breakthrough dialectical metasystemic advanced analysis and problem-solving methodology (DMAP) is also known as the dialectical thought form system (DTF) by its originator, Otto Laske.
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